10 Comments
Jul 15, 2023Liked by Marathoner

This was a really good write up and breakdown.

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Mar 17, 2023Liked by Marathoner

Fantastic research mate. Thanks for sharing. Keep up the good work.

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Mar 13, 2023Liked by Marathoner

solid! thanx a lot

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Mar 13, 2023Liked by Marathoner

Still don't know why I sold them a couple of months ago ._.

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Hi, Thank you for your excellent analysis.

CBOE has been aggressive in their strategy to gain market share in the European segment, which is a small portion of their revenues. They compete in the Clearing and Equities business in Europe. In 2022 their market share rose and increased a lot in European Equities from 18% in 2021 to 23% in 2022. Their EBITDA margin in the Europe and Asia segment dropped from 38% to 50% and one reason is because their clearing fees dropped 17%. Also, CBOE competes with Euronext on the listing of Blue chip stocks. It seems to me CBOE is being very aggressive in Europe.

Regarding their clearing, settlement and custody business, since 2014 is possible for other CSD's to offer their services in Euronext markets and vice versa. Euronext can also offer their services outside their markets.

Besides the competition you mentioned in their cash equity market, they also have strong competition in the Fixed income side of the business, mostly on the retail side.

You mention Euronext has pricing power, but how did you conclude that? Also, it's hard for me to understand where is their moat, their competitive advantage. Can you explain better?

Also, their ROE has been down a lot since around 2015 from over 30% to around 10%. Do you have any explanation for that?

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In this mad scramble for growth, Euronext has destroyed the RoE and margins. Unless all the fangled synergies of Borsa Italiano are so enormous that they would magically restore Euronexts' RoE to pre-acq levels, you have think this as a horrible capital allocation. The stock's low P/E is a reflection of this and with RoEs resetting structurally lower, the P/Es too have reset structurally lower versus peers. Hence it is no use comparing it to LSE or Deustsche Bourse etc and bemoaning its optical cheapness

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